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Mathematical models for simulating Covid-19 contagion in Italy: first wave

Academic Article
Publication Date:
2020
abstract:
In this paper, we provide two approximating functions for some dynamics associated with the rst wave of Covid-19 contagion in Italy. We consider also two particular cases of Sicily and Lombardy. We consider only the evolution of total infected cases and new daily cases. We show that the total infected cases need, in the time period considered, two different approximations. We approximate the daily infected curves by the first derivative of the above two functions. In the case of Lombardy, we consider a wider time interval to obtain an ultimate approximation.
Iris type:
14.a.1 Articolo su rivista
Keywords:
Approximation, Forecasting, Covid-19.
List of contributors:
Carfì, David; Donato, Alessia
Authors of the University:
CARFI' David
Handle:
https://iris.unime.it/handle/11570/3181422
Published in:
JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL ECONOMICS AND FINANCE
Journal
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